Sunday, October 17, 2021

The huge betting fallout from Patrick Mahomes, Chiefs’ blowout loss to Bills

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LAS VEGAS – In a league that dominates quarter-games, Patrick Mahomes has been at the top of the elite class for several years. As a result, the Champions remained the Super Bowl favorites after two early defeats of the season.

While Kansas City is showing a few signs of decline, Mahomes ’magic was enough to convince most bettors. The third defeat will change the blast game released by the Bills on Sunday night.

The Buccaneers are the new favorites for the Super Bowl at BetMGM with a coefficient of 11/2 (+550), followed by Buffalo (6/1) and Kansas City 15/2 (+750). Accounts are AFC favorites at +240, 3/1 ahead of the bosses.

“I think the guard has changed and for now, Costs looks like the best team,” said VSiN analyst and former NFL general manager Michael Lombardi. “I didn’t think the captains would lose five games a year.”

Given that the Sardors finished last season 14-2, their 2-3 records are impressive. Mahomes was not a magician who would shake a stick out of his helmet when a bad defense was lost.

Kansas City have lost twice at home, scoring 38-20 in Week 5 and 30-24 to Chargers in Week 3, with Mahomes hitting two of those losses each, and his six interruptions this season total for all. In the 2020 season.

“Mahomes isn’t playing well,” Lombardi said. “If you can’t stop anyone and turn the ball into an attack, your margin for victory is very small. I think in the NFL, the distinction between good and bad is clear because the bills are on the good side. I’m not saying the bosses are bad.”

Patrick Mahomes during the loss of bills by chiefs

The bosses have been betting badly for a long time, but have set a 2-13-1 record since the middle of last season. So what’s the problem? There are a lot of problems.

Mahomes ’game came a little behind the weak offensive line that opened and rebuilt after the Super Bowl defeat in Tampa Bay in February. The biggest evil is in defense. Kansas City ranks last in defense (32.6 points per game) and 31st in allowed yards (437.4).

Josh Allen played the role of “Heads” for the Clowns, completing 15 passes and three touches for 315 yards. Allen, who was not fired or caught, also ran for 59 yards and a touchdown. The Buffalo defense gave Mahomes short shots, preventing big games and destroying his ability to create something out of nothing.

Although the headline line seemed cheap from -2.5 to -3, it was not a win-win for bookmakers as the Costs attracted a lot of betting efforts.

Josh Allen escapes bosses Derrick Nnadi
Josh Allen escapes bosses Derrick Nnadi

“We changed the numbers based on the performance of the bosses,” said Winnie Magliulo, an honorary oddsmaker in Las Vegas and director of sports books at Gaughan Gaming. “I think some tailors are starting to figure out how teams should protect Mahomes. The recipe for beating the bosses is there.

“You can’t just score points and win games. You have to be able to play defensively and the bosses can’t. Now, the Captains are still fighting in the playoffs and will still be a team. I don’t write bosses. “

Betting teams are buying tickets to board the Buffalo Bandwagon until further notice. The score is 4-0 ATS, winning by 35, 22, 40 and 18 points, as the season cannot be opened to the Steelers.

“Can the bosses solve that?” said Lombardi. “Of course they can, but they have to leave teams behind with a defensive style of play.”

The Chiefs are a 6.5-point favorite in Washington this week, while the Washington defense has scored 33.8 points in the past four games.

Meanwhile, the Chargers (4-1), the Browns (3-2) and the Crows (3-1) are vying for the AFC. Baltimore, who host the Colts on Monday, are the 3.5-point favorite against the Chargers in Week 6.

The Browns’ only losses came as a result of chargers and boss car crashes. A 2.5-point favorite at home against Cleveland-Arizona.

The Cardinals (5-0) are the NFL’s unbeaten singles team, but it will be their toughest test. The Browns are proud of the league’s number one attack (187.6 yards per game) and include defender Kyler Murray.

“Is Buffalo a new team that lost?” said Magliulo. “It’s definitely going on and there’s more balance in the AFC.

“In the last two years, you’ve asked who can beat the head coaches in the AFC? Now the AFC is open and the NFC is open, which is good for our business.”

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