VSiN’s NFL specialist will make the selection for two Saturday’s playoff games.
New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills (-4.5, 43.5)
This season we have two data points where the Bills and Patriots face each other, but only one holds the water – because in the first game, the water in Orchard Park would have become a solid block. Strong winds and snow created a chaotic offensive atmosphere in the 13th week of that Monday night’s game. Damien Harris shook free to cover long distances and that was basically the difference in the game.
However, bills in the second session stifled the Patriots the day after Christmas. The 16-week win was Buffalo’s most complete performance of the season, at least against a good team. Josh Allen threw 314 yards and ran another 64 yards as he did what good players do and put the team behind.
In the absence of inclement weather, the Bills put the Patriots ahead of the almost full yard for every game. New England was 1-for-10 in the third decline, while Buffalo was 6-for-12. If the Patriots hAcesparks’t gone 5-6 in the fourth pass, the game could have been even more uncertain.
The weather in Buffalo will be very cold, but there will be no wind and precipitation factors. In cold weather, Allen’s numbers aren’t that big, with a 50 percent completion rate, but Mac Jones doesn’t seem to be playing in such bitter cold either. The Patriots will be one-dimensional, while the bills have two offensive dimensions. Buffalo has better protection by DVOA and yards for every game.
Selection: promissory note, -4.5.
LCincinnati as Vegas Raiders in Bengals (-5.5, 48.5)
The Raiders deserve great respect for winning four of their last four games to reach the playoffs. They basically made no mistake and won all four games by four or less points, but you’ll be amazed at how many times a team can respond to such stakes.
Perhaps a common sense of faith is enough to take the Raiders to a terrible place on Saturday. The playoffs and the motivation associated with it were thought to be enough, but he only played a quarter-five against the Las Vegas Chargers and the defense was on the field for 88 games in a long season. Now the Raiders have to travel through three time zones to play in cold Cincinnati.
The Bengals rested almost all of the players last week, including the injured Joe Berrou. Cincinnati thrives in backyards after his capture and ranks third in the NFL in this division. However, the Raiders kept teams up to just 10 yards per reception. The game may depend on how well the Bengals defend Burrow, which gives him time to shoot and find a long list of weapons.
With the exception of games against the Cowboys, Chiefs, and Chargers, the Raiders did not play teams loaded in skill positions. Las Vegas also lost to Cincinnati 32-13 in Week 11 at the Allegiant Stadium, although that score was incorrect, with the Bengals scoring 4.1 yards per game. having They had one game of 20+ yards and that was Joe Mixon’s run.
I’m inclined to Cincinnati here, but Under – it looks like a game. Both quarterback defenders can be affected by cold conditions, and the Raiders are doing a pretty good job of limiting explosive play, forcing Cincinnati offense to methodically lower the field. Both teams do not stand out in the red zone and the first meeting was 13-6 in the fourth quarter.
Selection: less than 48.5.