Friday, January 28, 2022

Federal modeling shows that Omicron will rise “very intensely” in a few weeks, CBC News reports

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A new modeling announced today by the Canadian Health Agency (PHAC) shows that the highly contagious variant of Omicron will raise hospitalization to a “very high level” in the coming weeks as the number of patients reaches a level never seen in the country. reaches

While there is a lot of uncertainty about how many new infections are reported each day due to ongoing COVID-19 testing limitations, PHAC notes that the current test positivity level indicates that the option is expanding and “very hot for several weeks. in activity ”. is expected to arrive. “

Nationwide, the positive rate is a staggering 28 percent. This means that more than one in four gives a positive result against the virus – almost five times higher than at any other point in the pandemic.

To preserve the health care system and “important functions of society,” PHAC is urging Canadians to wear quality, appropriate face masks to help limit personal contact, take amplifying blows, and stop the spread of the torn option. through communities across the country.

Although Omicron is less severe than previous versions, for example, the risk of hospitalization is lower than the Delta option – the prevalence of new infections means more people are prone to serious consequences, including hospitalization and death. .

The PHAC notes that “too many cases” lead to an increase in serious disease trends nationwide. New hospital admissions could rise from 2,000 to 4,000 per day, much higher than historical figures.

The number of patients treated with COVID-19 in hospitals has more than quadrupled since December, averaging more than 6,779 per day, while the number of people in critical care has exceeded an average of 884 per day. Meanwhile, 82 deaths are reported every day.

Omicron has been devastating because it is able to avoid past infections and pre-vaccination immunity. The PHAC said that two doses of the mRNA vaccine were not very effective against infection and symptomatic disease; he described the effectiveness of the Omicron vaccine as “very low to very low”.

However, people with the two-dose vaccine are less likely to be hospitalized. According to the PHAC, unvaccinated people are 19 times more likely to be hospitalized with COVID-19 than fully vaccinated people.

“These trends clearly show that vaccination in two or more doses is highly protective. As booster doses expand, updates with COVID-19 vaccines are expected to maintain this protective advantage,” said Dr. Teresa Tam, Canadian Health Minister. Chief Specialist

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